Tethys Oil: Moving ahead on block 56 - ABG

Q2 production slightly below
Focus in Q2: Exploration, FDP on Block 56 & strategic review
P/NAV of 0.59x, discounts Brent of USD 67/bbl


Q2 production slightly below ABGSCe

We make two main changes to our estimates ahead of Tethys Oil's Q2 report: 1) We update our model with the trading update for Q2, which came in slightly below our estimates. Net production was 7.7kboe/d vs. ABGSCe at 8.3kboe/d and the net entitlement was 4.0kboe/d vs. ABGSCe at 4.2kboe/d. However, these numbers were expected given the monthly production updates that Tethys is providing; 2) We reduce our net production estimates for H2'24 from 8.3kboe/d to 8.0kboe/d due to lower exit rate production from H1. In sum, our EBIT estimate for '24e is down by 17%. For Q2, we now forecast revenues and EBITDA of USD 30.6m and USD 14.5m, respectively.

Länk till analysen i sin helhet: https://cr.abgsc.com/foretag/tethys-oil/Equity-research/2024/8/tethys-oil---moving-ahead-on-block-56/