Detection Technology: Expecting strong growth figures - Evli

Detection Technology will report its Q4 results next Wednesday. Driven by robust topline growth, we expect the company to see strong earnings improvement. We retain our HOLD-rating and adjust our TP to EUR 28.0 (30.5).

Expecting high double-digit growth

Driven by strong double-digit growth in all BUs, we expect Q4 revenue of EUR 25.8m (cons. 25.6m), meaning an increase of 30.1% y/y. We expect MBU to grow by 30.3% y/y, driven by strong demand for CT-scan devices. We estimate the earlier growth in SBU’s order book to realize and expect topline increase of 30.5% y/y, totaling EUR 8m. With new customerships, we estimate IBU to grow by 28.5% y/y to EUR 3.6m. Despite the issues in the supply chain, we expect the revenue growth to scale and EBIT to improve by 66% y/y to EUR 3.9m (cons. 3.9m).

Strong earnings growth despite the cost pressures

We expect the increased volume of air passengers and the growth of cross-border e-commerce to support the growth in the number of SBU’s orders. We estimate the security market to exceed pre-COVID levels within the next few years. The company and other players expect the component shortage to continue also in 2022. To reach its EBIT-margin target of 15%, the company must be able to enhance operative efficiency and show some pricing power. We expect the company to be able to shift some of the increased costs to customer prices during the new pricing period. Regarding the outlook, we remain waiting for the management's comments on the pace of recovery in the security markets and clarification of the company's earlier guidance for H1’22 (expecting double-digit growth).

HOLD with a target price of EUR 28.0 (30.5)

The fundaments of DT’s business haven’t changed and we made no changes to our estimates ahead of Q4. Market drivers remain bright, but the recovery of aviation still includes some uncertainty in the short-run. With recent market turbulence and depreciation of peer group valuation, we adjust our TP to EUR 28.0 (30.5) and retain our HOLD-rating.

Länk till analysen i sin helhet: https://pankki.evli.com/hubfs/ERP/Raportit/Detection%20Technology/Detection%20Technology%20270122%20preview.pdf