Invisio: In a sweet spot - ABG

Q1 sales, EBIT and order intake beats, tailwinds continue
We raise estimates significantly, EBIT +26-90%
34-24x EV/EBIT 2023-25e


Showing off its strengths in Q1

The large order book converted to deliveries at a faster-than-expected pace in Q1, and the beat on order intake kept the order book at all-time high levels at the end of Q1 as well. With limited increase in opex, scalability becomes visible and Invisio is back to >20% EBIT margins again, after a period of low growth and investments during 2020-H1'2022. In combination with the positive outlook from the company, we raise our order intake by 11% in 2023e, which drives positive sales revisions of 12-24% in 2023-25e. Management was clear that the 62.5% gross margin in Q1 was driven by previously-purchased stock at lower prices, while suppliers have now completed price increases, and we therefore expect the gross margin to come in around 60-61% in the coming quarters (up from 58-59% previously). Although we raise opex estimates somewhat due to increased sales activities and bonuses, our EBIT estimates come up by 26-90% in 2023-25e (2023e from a lower base).

Länk till analysen i sin helhet: https://cr.abgsc.com/foretag/invisio/Equity-research/2023/5/invisio---in-a-sweet-spot/